Institute for Family Studies · 2026 State of Fertility

American Birthday Accounts — Bonus Estimator

A policy-design tool. Set the program parameters, describe a hypothetical family, and see how large the baby bonus would be at each birth — in today's dollars and as a share of average income.

1Program Design

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Assumptions (advanced)
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The account is modeled for a child born today (2026). All rates are nominal; results are also shown deflated to today's dollars.

2The Family

Enter the parent's age at each birth, or mark a birth as "Never." Married parents claim roughly double, since both spouses hold accounts.

3Estimated Bonus

BirthClaim ageFund beforeShare GrossAfter taxNet receivedToday's $% med. income

Fund Growth & Withdrawals

Fund balance Birth / withdrawal
Fund value by the parent's age (nominal dollars). Drops mark each birth claim.

How much would this plan change fertility?

Your policy would likely increase fertility rates by somewhere —.

What would it cost?

Cost = CBO-projected U.S. births, 2026–2035 (Demographic Outlook, Jan 2025) × the initial investment set above. Federal revenue = CBO total revenues from all sources, 2026–2035 (Budget & Economic Outlook, Jan 2025). Public school spending = latest annual U.S. public K–12 expenditures (NCES) × 10. All figures nominal.